美联储降息25个基点，12月起结束缩表！

| 会议日期 | | | 275-300 300-325 325-350 350-375 375-400 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/12/10 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 65.9% | | 2026/01/28 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 27.7% | 52.5% | | 2026/03/18 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 36.9% | 40.4% | | 2026/04/29 | 0.0% | 2.8% | 17.5% | 37.9% | 32.8% | | 2026/06/17 | 1.5% | 11.0% | 28.9% | 35.1% | 19.6% | | 2026/07/29 | 4.7% | 16.9% | 30.9% | 29.9% | 14.4% | | 2026/09/16 | 9.5% | 22.4% | 30.5% | 23.8% | 9.8% | | 2026/10/28 | 11.9% | 23.9% | 29.3% | 21.2% ...