国泰海通｜策略：Q3主动基金动向：大幅加仓AI硬件

Core Insights - The report indicates that active funds have significantly increased their holdings in A-shares, particularly in the TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) sector, while reducing exposure to consumer and banking sectors [1][2][4] - The total market value of active equity funds and stock ETFs reached a record high of 7.23 trillion yuan, reflecting a 21.7% quarter-on-quarter increase [1] - The active equity fund stock position rose to 85.6%, with a concentration ratio (CR20) increasing by 6.3% [1] Fund Allocation - Active funds have notably increased their allocation to the TMT sector, particularly in electronics and communications, while reducing exposure to consumer goods and financial sectors [2] - The electronics sector's allocation reached 25.5%, surpassing the previous high of 20.3% during the 2021 bull market [1][4] - The report highlights a significant increase in allocations to the semiconductor, battery, and gaming industries, driven by strong AI capital expenditures [2] Hong Kong Stock Market - The allocation to Hong Kong stocks has slightly decreased, with a total heavy position of 381.8 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease in the proportion of active fund investments to 18.7% [3] - Active funds have increased their investments in sectors such as trade, pharmaceuticals, and non-ferrous metals, while reducing exposure to social services and light industry [3] Market Trends - The report suggests that the fund issuance may soon reach a turning point, with historical data indicating that fund recovery and index breakthroughs are critical for accelerating new fund launches [4] - As of late October 2025, the proportion of actively managed equity funds with positive returns over various time frames has reached high levels, indicating a potential positive feedback loop for fund issuance and market performance [4]