芯片代工将涨价？台积电最新回应

Core Viewpoint - TSMC is implementing a long-term price increase strategy for advanced processes below 5nm, starting from January 2026, with an average price increase of approximately 3%-5% over four years, reflecting strong demand in AI and high-performance computing (HPC) [1][2] Group 1: Price Increase Strategy - TSMC has notified customers about a price increase for advanced processes (2nm, 3nm, 4nm, and 5nm) starting in 2026, aimed at fairly reflecting rising production costs and capital expenditures [1] - The expected price increase for the 3nm process is projected to be in the single-digit percentage range, with a potential long-term total increase reaching double digits [1] Group 2: Market Demand and Financial Performance - As of Q3 2025, advanced process revenue accounted for 74% of TSMC's total revenue, with 5nm contributing 37% and 3nm 23%, and this is expected to exceed 75% with the mass production of 2nm next year [2] - TSMC anticipates Q4 sales to reach between $32.2 billion and $33.4 billion, with a gross margin of 59% to 61% [2] Group 3: Resource Allocation and Industry Impact - To meet the high demand for AI chips, TSMC is reallocating human and equipment resources from mature processes (6nm and 7nm) to advanced technologies below 5nm, which may lead to supply constraints for some mature process customers [2] - The price increase not only reflects cost pressures but also aims to strengthen industry competitiveness and support long-term R&D investments, with AI-related revenue expected to reach 35% of total revenue by 2026, ahead of the original 2028 target [2]