华尔街见闻·2025-11-04 11:02Core Viewpoint - Wall Street executives warn that despite strong corporate earnings, current valuation levels are concerning, with a potential market correction of over 10% expected in the next 12 to 24 months [1][2]. Valuation Concerns - Morgan Stanley CEO Ted Pick and Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon express worries about the current valuation levels of U.S. stocks, predicting a possible 10% to 20% correction in the near future [2]. - Solomon notes that while technology stock valuations are fully priced, this does not apply to the entire market [5]. - Capital Group's Mike Gitlin highlights that most investors view market valuations as reasonable to full, with few considering stocks to be cheap [7]. - Pick mentions the risks of policy errors and geopolitical uncertainties in the U.S. market [6]. Market Correction as a Healthy Adjustment - Wall Street executives agree that market corrections should be seen as a normal and healthy development rather than a crisis signal [8]. - Solomon emphasizes that 10% to 15% corrections are common even in positive market cycles and do not alter fundamental capital allocation judgments [9][10]. - Pick encourages investors to welcome the possibility of cyclical corrections, describing them as healthy developments [11][12]. Positive Outlook for Asian Markets - Despite concerns over U.S. stock valuations, both Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley maintain an optimistic outlook for Asian markets [3][15]. - Goldman Sachs expects continued interest in China from global capital allocators due to recent positive developments, highlighting China as a major global economy [16]. - Morgan Stanley expresses bullish sentiments towards China, Japan, and India, identifying unique growth narratives in these markets [17]. Pick specifically points out investment opportunities in China's AI, electric vehicles, and biotechnology sectors, as well as Japan's corporate governance reforms and India's infrastructure development [17].