刚刚！重磅发声：历史性机遇！

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 strategy summit hosted by Dongwu Securities emphasizes the historical asset allocation opportunities in China, driven by macroeconomic changes and technological advancements [2][3]. Macroeconomic Insights - Dongwu Securities anticipates a new round of RMB appreciation, supported by favorable conditions for price recovery, which is crucial for economic growth and capital market performance [7]. - The company projects a nominal GDP growth rate of no less than 5.5% during the 14th Five-Year Plan, necessitating a price index increase of at least 0.8% [7]. Market Strategy - The A-share market is expected to experience a short-term style rebalancing, with a focus on technology growth stocks in the medium to long term [9][10]. - The market may face challenges in breaking through the psychological barrier of 4000 points, suggesting a strategy of "time for space" [10]. Sectoral Focus - Key sectors highlighted include technology, green energy, and consumption, with a strong emphasis on AI and domestic substitution as long-term investment themes [12][14]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is expected to create approximately 10 trillion yuan in market space for traditional industries over the next five years [14]. Consumer Trends - There is significant potential for increasing the consumer spending rate in China, which currently stands at approximately 39.6%, compared to higher rates in developed countries [15]. Earnings Outlook - The earnings bottom is projected to be reached by the end of 2025 or early 2026, with a shift from "asset revaluation" to "earnings recovery" anticipated in the capital markets [16][18]. - The technology sector is expected to remain the strongest theme in the upcoming bull market, with a focus on sectors benefiting from PPI improvements and domestic consumption recovery [18]. Bond Market Insights - In the bond market, a preference for short to medium-term bonds is recommended, with a focus on stability and potential opportunities arising from interest rate movements [19].