就在今天，特朗普任期首次重大选举！市场将获得重要数据，预判明年美国“中选”格局

Group 1 - The article highlights the significance of the gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey as a critical test for the Republican Party's support amid the ongoing federal government shutdown [1][3] - The elections are seen as a midterm referendum on the current Republican administration and reveal deep ideological divides within the Democratic Party, providing early insights into the potential direction of the 2026 midterm elections [3][4] - High voter turnout indicates strong public interest in these elections, with over 1.4 million ballots cast in Virginia and over 1.3 million in New Jersey as of Monday [3][4] Group 2 - In Virginia, Democratic candidate Abigail Spanberger is focusing on state economic issues and the federal government shutdown, while Republican Winsome Earle-Sears emphasizes immigration and parental rights [4] - In New Jersey, the Democratic incumbent aims to retain the governorship against a resurgent Republican candidate, Jack Ciattarelli, who has Trump's support and advocates for tax cuts and lower energy costs [4] Group 3 - The New York City mayoral race is marked by the rise of self-identified "democratic socialist" Zohran Mamdani, whose platform on housing costs and economic inequality has raised concerns on Wall Street [5][6] - Trump's intervention in the New York mayoral race includes support for independent candidate Andrew Cuomo and warnings about potential federal funding cuts if Mamdani wins, framing the election as a pivotal decision for the Democratic Party's future [6] Group 4 - In California, Governor Gavin Newsom is testing his political influence through Proposition 50, which aims to temporarily halt the state’s independent redistricting commission to create favorable congressional maps for Democrats [7] - The ongoing federal government shutdown, which is nearing historical records, is affecting economic data releases and could have prolonged negative effects on economic growth if the impasse continues [7]