美股IPO·2025-11-06 04:26Core Viewpoint - Michael Burry, known for his successful shorting of the housing bubble during the 2008 financial crisis, is now warning about an AI bubble, with 80% of his portfolio betting on an AI market crash [1][4][5]. Group 1: Michael Burry's Actions - Burry's Scion Asset Management has approximately 80% of its holdings focused on shorting Palantir and Nvidia, with a nominal value exceeding $1 billion [4][7]. - The put options for Palantir have a nominal value of $912 million, while those for Nvidia are valued at $186 million [7]. - Burry's strategy mirrors his previous actions before the subprime mortgage crisis, indicating a belief that many leading companies in the current AI hype will ultimately fail [7]. Group 2: Deutsche Bank's Position - Deutsche Bank is heavily invested in data center financing, primarily lending to major tech companies like Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon, with estimated loans reaching several billion dollars [8]. - The bank is considering shorting a basket of AI-related stocks and exploring "synthetic risk transfer" (SRT) transactions to mitigate loan default risks [9]. - The discussions within Deutsche Bank about hedging risks echo the strategies employed during the 2008 financial crisis, raising concerns about potential similarities in risk management practices [9]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Regulatory Warnings - Global regulatory bodies are issuing warnings about the AI asset bubble, with the Monetary Authority of Singapore highlighting "relatively tight valuations" in the tech and AI sectors [4]. - Major financial institutions, including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, have cautioned that U.S. stock valuations are excessively high, predicting at least a 10% market correction [4].