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风光储+AI数据中心+人形机器人,这家公司已进入宁德时代、阳光电源、台达产业链
摩尔投研精选·2025-11-06 09:56

Group 1 - Recent global asset pullbacks are attributed to liquidity contraction, with both safe-haven and risk assets experiencing declines [1] - The U.S. government shutdown has slowed the pace of capital return to the market, resulting in a liquidity gap of $150 billion to $180 billion [1] - The balance of the U.S. Treasury General Account (TGA) increased by $152.9 billion from the last week of September to the last week of October [1] Group 2 - The S&P 500's reasonable valuation center is estimated to be between 6900 and 6950, indicating no significant valuation burden on U.S. stocks [2] - The core logic behind potential Fed rate cuts remains in a high-certainty phase, limiting the downside for Hong Kong stocks and presenting good investment opportunities [2] - Strong sectors such as semiconductors (especially memory chips) and materials (primarily non-ferrous metals) are expected to face greater opportunities following liquidity recovery [2] Group 3 - In the lithium battery sector, leading membrane manufacturers are operating at full capacity, with supply constraints expected to create a supply-demand gap next year [3] - The production capacity of top-tier companies is projected to reach over 95% utilization by 2026, while the top five companies will maintain over 90% utilization in the next six months [3] - An industry closed-door meeting resulted in agreements on price discipline and limited capacity expansion, leading to successful price increases for some products in September [3] Group 4 - As the year-end approaches, the industry is beginning negotiations for 2026 supply and pricing, with upstream supply constraints potentially leading top companies to adopt dynamic pricing strategies [4]