每日钉一下（美元降息落地，对市场有啥影响？）

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of the recent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve on various markets, emphasizing the positive effects on global assets, particularly in the context of U.S. dollar-denominated bonds and equities [5][6]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cut - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut in October 2025, aligning with market expectations, but indicated that a December rate cut is not guaranteed, creating uncertainty in the market [5]. - Following the announcement, the global stock market saw an overall increase of approximately 28%, with the A-share market rising over 50% and the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index increasing over 55% [5][6]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Expectations - The positive market reactions to the interest rate cut were observed even before the official announcement, as markets had anticipated the cut, leading to a rise in asset prices [7]. - The article compares this anticipation to a child expecting a birthday gift, highlighting that market movements often reflect expectations prior to actual events [7]. Group 3: Future Interest Rate Trends - The article suggests that U.S. interest rates are likely to continue decreasing, driven by the substantial debt burden of $38 trillion in U.S. Treasury bonds, which incurs annual interest payments exceeding $1 trillion [8][9]. - It is projected that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, currently around 4%, may eventually return to historical averages of 2%-3%, although the timing of this adjustment remains uncertain [10][11]. Group 4: Long-term Considerations - The article warns that while interest rates may decline in the short term, there will be a cyclical nature to interest rate movements, with potential future increases that could negatively impact non-dollar assets [11]. - Historical patterns indicate that interest rates have fluctuated in cycles of approximately 3-5 years, suggesting that investors should remain vigilant about future rate changes [11].