2025年中国餐饮食品连锁加盟行业白皮书

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese restaurant food chain franchise industry is undergoing profound changes, driven by macroeconomic recovery and increasing consumer spending power, leading to market expansion and digital transformation [1][4][9] Market Overview - The Chinese restaurant food market is projected to reach 12.6 trillion yuan, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.2% from 2020 to 2024, driven by both service and retail sectors [9] - The average annual growth rate of GDP is expected to be 6.9%, while the retail sales of consumer goods will grow at about 5.5% during the same period, indicating resilient domestic demand [4] Consumer Behavior - Urban and rural residents' per capita consumption expenditure is showing a recovery trend, with urban residents growing at 6.4% and rural residents at 8.9% annually from 2020 to 2024, reflecting the vitality of the lower-tier market [6] - The demand for food and beverages remains stable, providing a solid foundation for the restaurant food industry [6] Industry Trends - The chain rate in the restaurant service sector is expected to rise from 15% in 2020 to 24% by 2025, indicating significant growth potential compared to developed countries [12] - The rise of "at-home dining" is reshaping industry structures, with this market segment growing at a CAGR of 18.4% from 2020 to 2024, significantly outpacing overall food retail growth [10] Franchise Dynamics - The franchise market is dominated by the restaurant sector, which accounts for nearly 50% of the market, but most franchise businesses are still in early expansion stages, with nearly 80% of registered franchise companies having fewer than 10 stores [20][22] - The competitive environment is shifting towards refined operations, with franchisees focusing on quality site selection and cost structure rather than engaging in price wars [24] Investment Considerations - Franchisees are increasingly favoring the "at-home dining" segment due to its lower investment threshold and shorter return on investment period, with expected payback periods of 10 to 20 months [34][36] - The leading brand in the at-home dining segment, Guoquan Shihui, is recognized for its low investment requirements and mature, replicable business model, making it a preferred choice for franchisees [39] Digital Transformation - The industry is experiencing a critical need for digital transformation to support scale expansion and profitability, with brands leveraging data-driven site selection and standardized operational systems [44] Franchisee Profile - The franchisee landscape is evolving, with a growing number of professional franchisees who have prior successful experiences, leading to a more selective relationship between brands and franchisees [47][48]