【重磅深度/星源卓镁】半固态工艺先行者，镁合金应用趋势下受益链第一梯队

Core Viewpoint - The company has established a leading position in the magnesium alloy automotive parts sector, benefiting from a strong product gross margin and a growing market demand for lightweight materials in the context of carbon neutrality and electric vehicle development [14][3]. Group 1: Company Overview and Financial Performance - The company was founded in 2003 and entered the magnesium alloy automotive parts market in 2014, supplying to major clients like Tesla and others [14]. - In 2025H1, the company reported revenue of 184 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.1%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 31 million yuan, down 15.2% year-on-year, primarily due to increased expense ratios and fixed asset depreciation [21]. - The company's revenue is projected to reach 4.09 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 16.0%, and net profit is expected to be 800 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.3% [21]. Group 2: Market Potential and Demand Drivers - The demand for lightweight materials, particularly magnesium alloys, is significantly driven by the dual carbon goals and the anxiety over the range of electric vehicles, with the market size for magnesium alloys in the automotive sector estimated to reach 16 billion yuan by 2025 [3]. - The company anticipates that the market for magnesium alloys could exceed 50 billion yuan by 2030, especially with applications in robotics potentially pushing the market beyond 100 billion yuan [3]. Group 3: Product and Client Expansion - The company has been expanding its product line from small to medium and large-sized magnesium alloy products, with the revenue share of medium and large products reaching 60.18% in 2022H1, an increase of 7.46 percentage points since 2019 [5][4]. - The average selling price (ASP) of the company's products is expected to reach 62.5 yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18% from 2021 to 2024 [5]. Group 4: Strategic Initiatives and Innovations - The company plans to issue convertible bonds to raise up to 450 million yuan for the construction of a project to produce 3 million sets of high-strength magnesium alloy precision components annually [6]. - The company has been investing in semi-solid magnesium alloy injection molding technology, with five sets of equipment procured since 2021, enhancing its production capabilities [7]. Group 5: Profitability and Valuation - The company's gross margin for magnesium alloy die-casting is projected to be 33.77% in 2024, which is significantly higher than comparable companies [21]. - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 0.78 billion yuan, 1.54 billion yuan, and 2.30 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 0.69 yuan, 1.37 yuan, and 2.05 yuan [8].