财报超预期，为何“稳定币巨头”Circle股价跌了

Core Viewpoint - Circle's strong Q3 earnings report did not alleviate market concerns about future profitability due to rising costs, a declining interest rate environment, and potential insider stock sales [3][5][12] Financial Performance - Circle reported Q3 revenue of $739.8 million, a 66% year-over-year increase, surpassing analyst expectations of $706.7 million [9] - Earnings per share reached $0.64, significantly exceeding Wall Street's forecast of $0.20 [9] - The growth was primarily driven by the expansion of its core product, the USDC stablecoin, which had a circulation of $73.7 billion by the end of September, more than double the amount from the previous year [10] Cost Outlook - The company raised its 2025 operating expense forecast to between $495 million and $510 million, up from a previous range of $475 million to $490 million, raising investor concerns about cost control and future profitability [7][12] - Although the company increased its revenue expectations for subscription and service income from $80 million to $95 million, the larger increase in cost forecasts overshadowed this positive news [12] Market Concerns - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are expected to pressure Circle's core revenue sources, as the company's interest income from USDC reserves, primarily invested in money market funds, is likely to decline [8][14] - The return rate on the company's reserves dropped by 96 basis points to 4.15% in the latest quarter [14] - Concerns were also raised about the potential early expiration of the lock-up period for insider stock sales, which could lead to increased selling pressure on the stock [16][17]