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思科财报解读:低估值 + 稳增长,科技老将的投资吸引力凸显

Core Viewpoint - Cisco Systems (CSCO) is a well-established technology company that, while not the fastest-growing, is expected to attract investors seeking both growth and low valuation due to its steady growth pace and reasonable valuation [1]. Financial Performance - Cisco's Q1 FY2026 earnings report showed that both revenue and earnings per share exceeded market expectations, continuing a trend of 13 consecutive quarters of outperforming expectations, indicating a tendency for analysts to underestimate Cisco [2][4]. - The company's Q1 revenue grew by 7.5% year-over-year, which is considered a healthy growth rate compared to recent levels, where revenue growth was around 5% to 6% in FY2025, and a decline was noted the previous year [4][5]. Revenue Breakdown - Cisco's total revenue for the quarter was $14.9 billion, with the network equipment segment contributing $7.8 billion, accounting for slightly over 50% of total revenue. This segment's revenue grew by 15% year-over-year, outperforming other business segments [7]. - The network equipment market is expected to continue expanding due to increased investments in data centers by major tech companies like Amazon and Google, which will benefit Cisco despite competition from Arista Networks [8]. Geographic Distribution - Cisco's revenue is heavily concentrated in the Americas, contributing approximately 60% of total revenue, with Europe, the Middle East, and Africa (EMEA) and Asia-Pacific accounting for about 25% and 15%, respectively. The Americas saw a year-over-year growth of 9%, while other regions grew around 5% [8]. Order Growth and Profitability - Product orders for Q1 increased by 13% year-over-year, with the Americas showing the fastest growth at 16%. Orders from service providers and cloud service customers surged over 40% [8]. - Cisco's Q1 net profit grew by 9%, driven by improved operating profit margins and controlled operating expenses, which only increased by 3%, highlighting effective cost management [9]. Future Outlook - Cisco's revenue guidance for the current quarter suggests a year-over-year growth of about 8%, with an expected total revenue of approximately $60.6 billion for FY2026, reflecting a growth of about 7% compared to FY2025 [11]. - Analysts anticipate an annual growth of around 10% in earnings per share, supported by profit margin improvements and stock buybacks, with the current price-to-earnings ratio at 17 to 18 times, indicating it is not overvalued [12].