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白银刷新10年新高!如何理解贵金属本轮历史性牛市的主线逻辑
对冲研投·2025-11-13 11:04

Group 1 - The article highlights the recent surge in silver prices, with domestic prices reaching 12,500 yuan per kilogram and Comex silver nearing 54 dollars per ounce, indicating a historical high [3] - It suggests that silver is outperforming gold and may be evolving into a "people's monetary metal" in Europe and the US, driven by government actions related to gold [3] - The long-term upward trend in precious metals is attributed to stable driving factors, with a focus on the valuation currency perspective [3][6] Group 2 - Traditional frameworks for analyzing precious metals face challenges, particularly in the context of rising real interest rates since 2022, which have led to price adjustments in gold [6] - The article discusses the impact of liquidity changes on the relationship between gold and US Treasury yields, noting that increased liquidity can lead to simultaneous rises in both gold prices and Treasury yields [6][9] - It emphasizes the historical decline in the intrinsic value of the US dollar, which is reflected in the rising prices of gold and silver [9][11] Group 3 - The article examines the internal and external purchasing power of the US dollar, indicating a long-term decline in both aspects, which contributes to the ongoing loss of the dollar's intrinsic value [10][11] - It points out that the dollar's purchasing power has been affected by various global economic factors, including resource nationalism in South America and geopolitical conflicts [10][11] - The discussion includes the notion that the dollar's status as a global currency is under pressure, leading to a potential shift towards gold and silver as alternative stores of value [12][13]