Applied Materials(US:AMAT) 是说芯语·2025-11-14 06:27Core Viewpoint - The company anticipates a decline in chip manufacturing equipment spending in China by 2026 due to tightened U.S. export controls, although overall revenue is expected to grow in the second half of the year [1][4]. Group 1: Financial Forecasts - The company predicts a revenue decrease of $600 million for the fiscal year 2026 due to expanded export controls complicating the delivery of certain products and services to Chinese customers [4]. - For the current fiscal quarter, the company forecasts revenue of $6.85 billion, with a fluctuation range of $500 million, while analysts expect an average revenue of $6.76 billion [4]. - The company expects earnings per share (EPS) of $2.18, with a fluctuation of $0.20, which is an increase from the previous expectation of $2.13 [4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The company's sales in China have decreased from nearly 40% of total revenue to around 20% in recent years [5]. - Non-U.S. equipment companies are not subject to the same restrictions, allowing restricted customers to purchase products from these competitors, even if they prefer to buy from the company [6]. - The company has indicated that the new regulations will make it more difficult to export certain products and provide specific parts and services to some Chinese customers without a license [6]. Group 3: Industry Trends - Despite the anticipated suppression of demand due to U.S. export controls, strong memory production related to the surge in artificial intelligence (AI) investment is expected to partially offset this impact [2]. - The company's CFO noted that customer feedback suggests spending on wafer fabrication equipment may accelerate starting in the second half of 2026 [4].