雪球·2025-11-15 04:31Core Insights - The article discusses the investment philosophy and experiences of Duan Yongping, highlighting his unique approach to decision-making and investment strategies [4][9][72] Group 1: Investment Philosophy - Duan Yongping emphasizes the importance of understanding the business model and corporate culture before making investment decisions, using these as filters to determine whether to invest [30][31] - He believes that maintaining rationality is crucial in investment, as it allows for better decision-making even in uncertain situations [47][48] - The concept of "stop doing list" is introduced, where avoiding certain actions is seen as equally important as taking the right actions in business management [58][59] Group 2: Key Investment Decisions - Duan's decision to invest all his money in NetEase when its stock price was below $1 led to a 20-fold increase in just six months, showcasing his ability to identify undervalued opportunities [8][26] - He reflects on his investment in Kweichow Moutai, noting that despite its price drop, he did not sell because he could not find a better alternative to invest in [41][45] - The article mentions his limited number of investments, with only about ten significant ones over 20 years, indicating a focused and selective investment strategy [28][29] Group 3: Lessons from Mistakes - Duan acknowledges that he made mistakes, such as underestimating the speed of the smartphone market transition, which led to significant cash depletion in his company [19][20] - He stresses that the key lesson from his experience with NetEase is to only invest in industries one understands well, reinforcing the importance of knowledge in investment [53][72] - The article highlights that short-term gains do not equate to long-term success; principles and understanding are what ultimately protect investors [51][52] Group 4: Advice for Investors - Duan warns that stock trading is risky for most retail investors, suggesting that they should consider investing in index funds or established companies if they lack investment knowledge [54][55] - He emphasizes the need for investors to continuously evaluate opportunity costs and be ready to switch investments if a better option arises [46][72] - The article concludes with a practical question for investors: "If you sell, where will the money go?" This encourages thoughtful consideration before making investment decisions [68][70]