TFC(SZ:300394) 第一财经·2025-11-16 10:09Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent large-scale share reduction plan by Tianfu Communication's controlling shareholder, which has raised concerns about the company's stock price and future growth potential after a significant increase in share price earlier this year [3][5]. Share Reduction Plan - Tianfu Communication's controlling shareholder, Suzhou Tianfu Renhe Investment Management Co., plans to reduce its holdings by 8.5 million shares, valued at approximately 1.32 billion yuan based on the closing price on the announcement date [3][4]. - The share transfer will be conducted through a non-public inquiry transfer, limiting the buyers to qualified institutional investors, which is expected to have a smaller impact on the stock price compared to direct market sales [4]. - The minimum transfer price is set at 70% of the average trading price over the previous 20 trading days, indicating a strong desire to liquidate and a cautious outlook on short-term stock price trends [4][5]. Market Performance and Stock Price Trends - Tianfu Communication's stock price reached a historical high of 224.42 yuan on September 1 but has since declined by approximately 21.5%, closing at 155.47 yuan [4][6]. - The stock's decline has led to speculation about whether the price has peaked, especially in light of the controlling shareholder's decision to sell at a high price [5]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Tianfu Communication reported revenue of 3.918 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 63.63%, and a net profit of 1.465 billion yuan, up 50.07% year-on-year [6][7]. - However, the growth rate has slowed significantly in the third quarter, with revenue growth of only 74.37% year-on-year but a 3.23% decline quarter-on-quarter [6][7]. - The company's gross margin increased by 4.3 percentage points to 53.7% in the third quarter, indicating some operational efficiency [6]. Future Growth Prospects - The demand for high-speed optical devices, driven by global data center construction and artificial intelligence, is expected to support future growth [6][7]. - Tianfu Communication is expanding its overseas production capacity, with a facility in Thailand expected to contribute to production scaling by 2026 [7]. - The ability to maintain a competitive edge in the CPO market through technological advantages and capacity expansion will be crucial for sustaining its valuation amid increasing competition [7].