机构研究周报:牛市或步入第二阶段,配置力量有望推动利率下行
Wind万得·2025-11-16 22:35

Focus Review - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) will conduct a 6-month reverse repurchase operation of 800 billion yuan to maintain liquidity in the banking system, resulting in a net injection of 500 billion yuan after accounting for maturing operations [3] - The PBOC has established a pattern of monthly liquidity injections, indicating a continued focus on maintaining a loose monetary environment amid increased growth demands [3] Equity Market - CITIC Securities suggests that China's capital market is transitioning from an emerging market to a mature market, with an increasing global business exposure for listed companies, which is foundational for a low-volatility bull market [5] - Huatai Securities predicts that the A-share profit cycle will likely recover in the first half of 2026, driven by positive signals from capacity inventory cycles and overseas expansion [6] - Galaxy Securities warns of a potential decline in market risk appetite as the year-end approaches, suggesting a focus on cyclical sectors and dividend stocks that may benefit from improved Sino-U.S. trade relations [7] Industry Research - HSBC Jintrust Fund highlights the storage industry as a sector with multiple opportunities, driven by policy shifts and increased demand, particularly from AI data centers, suggesting a strategic opportunity for high growth [12] -招商证券 identifies investment potential in sectors experiencing supply clearing, particularly in resources, consumer goods, and traditional machinery, recommending focus on quality leaders and low-inventory industries [13] - 嘉实基金 sees significant long-term growth potential in China's innovative pharmaceutical sector, suggesting that recent corrections are a market adjustment rather than an end to the growth trend [14] Asset Allocation - Guosen Securities indicates that the bull market may be entering its second phase, with economic conditions improving and a broadening market trend, particularly in technology and undervalued sectors like liquor and real estate [22]