摩尔投研精选·2025-11-17 10:57Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a volatile consolidation pattern, with major indices slightly declining, while sector rotation shows a "diffusion" characteristic, particularly with the previously leading technology sector entering a period of adjustment [1][2]. Group 1: Lithium Battery and Energy Storage - The lithium battery sector is currently benefiting from a "storage + AI" dual-engine era, with companies like Rongjie Co., Shengxin Lithium Energy, and Dazhong Mining seeing significant stock price increases due to rising prices [3]. - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate has increased by 3,600 yuan/ton to 90,350 yuan/ton, marking a 21.33% rise from mid-September's price of 71,500 yuan/ton [4]. - Energy storage batteries are highlighted as the largest demand driver, with projected lithium demand growth rates of 68%, 45%, and 35% for the years 2025-2027, driven by increased power consumption in global AI data centers and supportive government policies [6]. - Predictions indicate that lithium carbonate demand could grow by 30% in 2026, reaching 1.9 million tons, with short-term supply unable to meet demand, potentially pushing prices above 150,000 yuan/ton or even 200,000 yuan/ton [6]. Group 2: Industry Rotation and Investment Opportunities - Since October, the high-level volatile trend has seen an increase in industry rotation intensity, with resource sectors showing strong gains while consumer sectors have lagged [10]. - Industries currently undervalued (with a valuation percentile below 41% since 2010) and showing relatively low maximum gains include non-bank financials, food and beverage, agriculture, public utilities, and home appliances [11]. - Sectors that are relatively undervalued (with a price-to-earnings ratio percentile below 25% and maximum gains below 5%) include seasoning and fermentation products, non-baijiu liquor, aquaculture, medical services, marine equipment, and securities, which may present short-term rebound opportunities [14].