又一个千万人口大市,要来了
虎嗅APP·2025-11-17 13:49

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the imminent expansion of the "ten million population club" in China, focusing on the city of Foshan, which is projected to reach a permanent population of 10.16 million by 2030, making it the 19th city in the country to achieve this milestone [6][8]. Group 1: Population Growth in Foshan - Foshan's current population is 9.69 million, requiring an average annual increase of about 50,000 to reach the ten million mark [6][7]. - If Foshan surpasses this threshold, it will become the fourth city in Guangdong and the 19th nationwide to join the ten million population club, as well as the 17th city with both a GDP exceeding one trillion and a population over ten million [8][9]. Group 2: Comparison with Other Cities - Guangdong already has three cities—Guangzhou, Shenzhen, and Dongguan—each with populations exceeding ten million [9]. - The combined population of these four cities is nearly 60 million, comparable to the populations of provinces like Hubei and Anhui [13]. - The article highlights that despite their large populations, cities like Shenzhen and Foshan have relatively small land areas, leading to high population densities [14]. Group 3: Demographic Advantages - The article emphasizes the demographic advantages of these cities, including a youthful population, low aging rates, and higher birth rates [15]. - Guangdong is noted for having seven of the youngest cities in China, with Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Foshan, and Dongguan included [16]. Group 4: Distribution of Ten Million Population Cities - As of now, there are 18 cities in China with populations exceeding ten million, primarily located in economically strong provinces [19]. - Chongqing stands out as the only city with a population over 30 million, while cities like Shanghai, Beijing, and Chengdu have populations exceeding 20 million [21][22]. - The article notes that while most ten million population cities are also trillion-yuan GDP cities, there are exceptions like Shijiazhuang and Linyi, which are not trillion-yuan cities but have large county populations [24][25]. Group 5: Future Prospects for Population Growth - Other cities aiming to join the ten million club include Wenzhou, Ningbo, Nanjing, and Jinan, with Wenzhou and Ningbo being the closest to the milestone [34][38]. - The article suggests that cities with strong economic competitiveness and the ability to attract population will have better chances of reaching this goal, while cities in Northeast China face significant challenges due to population decline [40][41].