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国泰海通|非银:资产配置“股升债降”,主动管理将更为重要——2025年三季度保险公司资金运用点评
国泰海通证券研究·2025-11-17 14:27

Core Viewpoint - The insurance industry's fund utilization balance has steadily increased, with a further rise in equity asset allocation and a decrease in bond asset allocation, indicating the growing importance of active management capabilities in investment [1][4]. Group 1: Fund Utilization Overview - As of Q3 2025, the insurance industry's fund utilization balance reached 37.5 trillion yuan, a year-to-date increase of 12.6%, driven by stable growth in new and renewal premiums, with a year-on-year premium growth of 8.8% [2]. - The life insurance sector accounted for 33.7 trillion yuan, also up 12.6% year-to-date, while the property insurance sector reached 2.4 trillion yuan, increasing by 7.5% [2]. Group 2: Asset Allocation Changes - By the end of Q3 2025, the insurance industry allocated 3.62 trillion yuan to equity assets, an increase of 1.19 trillion yuan year-to-date, with an allocation percentage of 10.0%, up 2.5 percentage points from the beginning of the year [3]. - The allocation to equity funds rose to 5.5%, up 0.2 percentage points year-to-date, while bond asset allocation was 50.3%, up 0.8 percentage points year-to-date but down 0.8 percentage points from Q2 [3]. - Bank deposits accounted for 7.9% of the allocation, down 1.1 percentage points year-to-date, and other assets (primarily non-standard) accounted for 18.4%, down 2.7 percentage points year-to-date [3]. Group 3: Investment Management Strategy - The net investment yield is trending downward due to a low interest rate environment and narrowing credit spreads, indicating a need for insurance companies to shift from passive to active management strategies [4]. - The focus should be on flexibly seizing market opportunities and continuously optimizing asset allocation structures to achieve stable investment returns [4]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The expectation is that insurance companies will continue to optimize their asset allocation strategies, leading to improved profitability, maintaining an "overweight" rating for the industry [5].