Market Overview - The market remains in a sideways consolidation phase, with abundant liquidity and no significant outflow signals, providing stability to the major indices [1] - Investors have high expectations for the market in 2026, indicating that the current phase is primarily a layout stage for future opportunities [1] - Technical indicators show a shrinking trading volume, suggesting an increasing wait-and-see atmosphere among investors [1] Technical Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index's daily K-line pattern may be forming a small M-top after two peaks, which requires ongoing monitoring [1] - If the index breaks below the neckline, it could lead to a moderate adjustment, with potential declines matching the height from the previous high to the neckline [1] Market Trends - There is a rotation of market hotspots, with short-term impulses driven by thematic stocks, such as shipbuilding and defense industries showing performance on specific days [1] - Recent market speculation around company names has seen rapid declines, with several stocks hitting the daily limit down [1] - Key sectors like AI computing power, new energy batteries, and basic materials continue to attract attention and inflow from major funds [1] Future Outlook - The market is expected to continue its oscillation and consolidation, focusing on stability [1] - Attention should be paid to changes in intraday hotspots and the matching of trading volume [1] - A small probability exists for a moderate adjustment if the Shanghai Composite Index loses its neckline support [1]
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申万宏源证券上海北京西路营业部·2025-11-20 01:53