Market Overview - A-shares collectively declined on Thursday, with over 3,000 stocks falling and trading volume dropping to recent lows, indicating poor market profitability [1] - The banking sector showed resilience, with several state-owned banks rising over 3% [1] - As the year-end approaches, market participants are exhibiting a cautious trading attitude, leading to a significant reduction in A-share trading volume [1] Future Outlook - The market is expected to experience fluctuations around the 4000-point level, which may prepare for a potential upward movement [1] - The manufacturing sector is anticipated to see an improvement in supply and demand by 2026, which could lead to a notable recovery in the earnings growth of A-share listed companies [1] - Key focus areas for November include the impact of the 14th Five-Year Plan on industries, event-driven dynamics in the technology sector, and price recovery driven by anti-involution trends [1] Sector Highlights - The technology sector remains a focal point in November, with opportunities for rebound in underperforming areas such as robotics, military, and smart vehicles [2] - The semiconductor industry is expected to continue its trend towards domestic production, with attention on semiconductor equipment, wafer manufacturing, materials, and IC design [2] - The military sector is projected to see a recovery in orders by 2025, with signs of bottoming out in the performance of various military sub-sectors [2] - The innovative pharmaceutical sector is entering a recovery phase after nearly four years of adjustment, with positive net profit growth observed since Q3 2024 [2] - The banking sector has begun to see a rebound in mid-year performance growth following the impact of loan rate re-pricing, making it attractive to long-term institutional investors due to its dividend yield [2]
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申万宏源证券上海北京西路营业部·2025-11-21 02:08