比特币一度跌破8.1万美元关口，或创2022年来最大月度跌幅

Core Viewpoint - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing significant turmoil, with Bitcoin dropping over 30% from its October high, leading to a total market capitalization falling below $3 trillion and investor sentiment plunging to "extreme fear" levels [1][4][12]. Market Performance - Bitcoin's price fell to $80,553, marking a decline of over 30% from its historical high of $126,000 in early October, resulting in a monthly drop of approximately 25%, the worst performance since 2022 [2][7]. - Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, also faced severe losses, with a drop of 8.9%, falling below $2,700 [3]. Market Dynamics - A massive liquidation event on October 10 led to $19 billion in leveraged positions being forcibly closed, causing the market to lose about $1.5 trillion in value [6]. - In the past 24 hours, an additional $2 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated, with open interest in perpetual futures contracts decreasing by 35% from the October peak of $94 billion, indicating a significant reduction in risk exposure by investors [8][9]. Institutional Behavior - Institutional investors have shown no signs of bottom-fishing, with a net outflow of $903 million from 12 U.S. Bitcoin ETFs on Thursday, marking the second-largest single-day redemption since their launch in January 2024 [12]. - The current investor sentiment index compiled by CoinGlass has dropped to its lowest level since the 2022 crash, reflecting a state of "extreme fear" among traders [12]. Selling Pressure - The convergence of forced liquidations and structural ETF sell-offs has left the market in a particularly fragile state, with significant selling pressure from large holders, referred to as "whales" [5][10]. - A notable whale, identified as "Owen Gunden," sold a total of $1.3 billion worth of Bitcoin since the end of October, clearing out his final holdings on Friday [10][14]. Market Liquidity Concerns - Concerns about market liquidity are exacerbated as the holiday season approaches, with potential for further liquidity depletion if investors continue to reduce their positions [11]. - The market is currently facing passive sellers, and the duration of this situation remains uncertain [15].