美联储，大消息！金价，涨了！

Group 1: Federal Reserve and Market Reactions - The Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook remains a key concern for the market, with recent hawkish statements from officials causing panic, but New York Fed President Williams indicated that the current labor market weakness poses a greater threat to the economy than inflation, suggesting further rate cuts are possible [1] - Following Williams' dovish comments, market expectations for a rate cut in December have shifted, with traders now anticipating a 70% probability of a 25 basis point cut [1] Group 2: U.S. Economic Indicators - According to S&P Global, U.S. business activity expanded at its fastest pace in four months in November, with service sector growth accelerating and overall economic outlook improving [3] - The three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones up 1.08%, S&P 500 up 0.98%, and Nasdaq up 0.88% [3] Group 3: Eli Lilly's Market Performance - Eli Lilly's stock rose by 1.57%, making it the first pharmaceutical company to surpass a market capitalization of $1 trillion, driven by expanded production and strong performance of its weight loss drugs [9] - Goldman Sachs predicts that Eli Lilly's oral version of its weight loss drug is expected to launch in Q1 next year, earlier than anticipated, which could enhance market share [9] - A recent agreement with the U.S. government to significantly reduce prices for some weight loss drugs is expected to increase sales potential [9] Group 4: European Economic Indicators - In Europe, the manufacturing PMI for the Eurozone fell to 49.7 in November, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity due to weak demand [12] - Major economies like Germany and France showed reduced manufacturing growth momentum, leading to mixed performance in European stock indices, with the FTSE 100 up 0.13%, CAC 40 up 0.02%, and DAX down 0.80% [12] Group 5: Market Trends and Oil Prices - Concerns over high valuations in AI and the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations have negatively impacted U.S. stock performance, with the Dow down 1.91%, S&P 500 down 1.95%, and Nasdaq down 2.74% for the week [13] - International oil prices fell due to news of potential increases in supply from peace talks regarding the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with WTI crude down 1.59% and Brent crude down 1.29% on Friday [16] - For the week, WTI and Brent crude prices fell by 3.38% and 2.84%, respectively, as geopolitical risk premiums decreased [16]