金融赋能未来产业发展：从理论逻辑到制度路径｜政策与监管

Core Viewpoint - Future industries, driven by disruptive technologies, are becoming a key variable in shaping the global competitive landscape, relying on both technological breakthroughs and effective financial support [1][3]. Group 1: Global Future Industry Competition - Future industries are characterized by their strategic, leading, disruptive, and uncertain nature, representing a new wave of technological revolution and industrial transformation [3]. - Major economies are accelerating their layout in future industries, with the U.S. investing heavily in semiconductor, clean energy, and AI sectors through legislative measures like the CHIPS and Science Act and the Inflation Reduction Act [3]. - The EU and Japan are also implementing policies to promote core technology breakthroughs and supply chain autonomy, indicating a shift in focus from traditional industry efficiency to future industry dominance [3]. Group 2: Financial Support for Future Industries - The adaptability of the financial system is crucial for transforming innovation potential into real productivity, as highlighted by the 2024 implementation opinions from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology [4]. - Financial policies are being aligned with industrial policies to support future industries, with frameworks established for structural monetary policy, special credit, and industrial funds [4]. - The transformation of policies into actionable financial practices requires a deep understanding of the inherent rules and realities of financial support for future industries [4]. Group 3: Theoretical Mechanisms of Financial Support - The uncertainty and externalities of innovation necessitate financial systems that can structurally adapt to support future industries, as traditional market mechanisms are often insufficient [6]. - Future industries face high investment costs, long cycles, and significant risks, making them less attractive to short-sighted private capital [6]. - The public good nature of future industry outcomes often leads to underfunding and innovation gaps due to the inability of firms to internalize the positive externalities of their innovations [6]. Group 4: Structural Constraints of Existing Financial Systems - The existing financial system, rooted in industrialization, struggles to support future industries due to its focus on collateral, cash flow, and historical credit [7][8]. - There are three main mismatches: information mismatch, time mismatch, and structural mismatch, which hinder effective financial support for future industries [8]. - Financial institutions often lack the ability to assess technological potential and commercial pathways, relying instead on traditional financial metrics [8].