研报 | 2025年第三季新能源车销量年增31%,全年预计年增长25%
TrendForce集邦·2025-11-24 04:36

Core Insights - The global sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) reached 5.39 million units in Q3 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 31% [2] - Battery electric vehicles (BEVs) accounted for 3.71 million units sold, up 48% year-on-year, while plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) saw sales of 1.67 million units, a 4% increase [2] NEV Market Performance - BYD maintained its position as the top seller of BEVs with a market share of 15.4%, although its sales decreased compared to Q2 [5] - Tesla ranked second with a strong Q3 performance, achieving a 29% quarter-on-quarter increase, driven by incentives in the U.S. and growth in China [5] - Geely and Leapmotor showed remarkable growth, with market shares of 6% and 4.1% respectively, surpassing Xpeng for two consecutive quarters [6] - Volkswagen's ranking fell to seventh due to a decline in the Chinese market, offsetting gains in Europe and the U.S. [6] - Hyundai ranked ninth with a quarterly decline but year-on-year growth, while BMW faced challenges with decreasing sales of its electric vehicles [6] PHEV Market Dynamics - BYD faced saturation and intense competition in the Chinese PHEV market, experiencing year-on-year sales decline despite quarterly growth [6] - AITO, Chery, and Geely ranked second to fourth in PHEV sales, with Chery showing rapid growth and a market share increase to 6.6% [6] - Li Auto, despite being the second in sales in Q2, faced market share erosion due to increasing competition from range-extended electric vehicles (REEVs) [6] Future Projections - TrendForce forecasts global NEV sales to reach 20.43 million units in 2025, a year-on-year increase of approximately 25% [7] - For 2026, despite regional subsidy policy adjustments leading to market differentiation, global NEV sales are expected to rise to 22.8 million units, reflecting a 12% year-on-year growth [7]