该什么时候启动逆向思维

Group 1 - The core idea of the article emphasizes the importance of contrarian thinking, risk management, and market cycles, particularly during momentum divergence phases [1] - Contrarian thinking is linked to market cycles, suggesting that events will eventually reverse at certain stages, and it is crucial to think in reverse without doing so arbitrarily [1] - The current market situation shows signs of momentum divergence, with a peak divergence observed in September at the 60-minute level, followed by a daily level divergence, indicating a waning enthusiasm for buying despite new highs in stock prices [1][2] Group 2 - The article highlights the human tendency to ignore market cycle changes, as many investors remain optimistic even after significant market breaks, demonstrating a reluctance to acknowledge turning points [4] - The appropriate time to consider bullish positions again will be when a 60-minute level momentum bottom divergence occurs, which is currently not evident [4] - Investors are advised to wait for the occurrence of a 60-minute level divergence, as extreme pessimism among the crowd may signal a good opportunity to start buying [6]