读研报 | 当“居民消费率明显提高”被作为目标

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of increasing the resident consumption rate in China as a key goal for the 14th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030) to drive economic growth and improve living standards [1][2]. Group 1: Current Situation of Resident Consumption Rate - China's resident consumption rate is currently low compared to other countries with similar income levels, approximately 10 percentage points lower than the average of 50% for middle-income countries [1]. - Historical data shows that the resident consumption rate in China has only increased during the "Ninth Five-Year" and "Twelfth Five-Year" periods, with significant declines in other periods, reaching a low of 34.9% in 2010 [2]. - By the end of 2024, the resident consumption rate is projected to be 39.9%, which is only a 5 percentage point increase from 2010 and close to the level seen in 2005 [2]. Group 2: Strategies for Increasing Resident Consumption Rate - The article suggests looking at historical consumption transformations in the United States, where increases in disposable income and government support played crucial roles in boosting consumer spending [4]. - It categorizes Asian countries into four types based on their consumption behavior, highlighting that "consumer-friendly" countries like Japan have developed advanced service sectors to create more consumption opportunities, while "cautious" countries like Singapore prioritize wealth accumulation [4]. - The article concludes that improving the resident consumption rate requires both stimulating consumer willingness and enhancing their financial capacity, indicating a dual approach is necessary for effective results [5].