Consumer Products - The export growth rates for electric tools, hand tools, and lawn mowers from January to October 2025 are -0.4%, -6%, and 37% respectively, with October 2025 showing declines of -17%, -16%, and -15% year-on-year [4] - The decline in export growth is attributed to high base effects and calendar effects, with one less working day in October 2025 compared to October 2024, leading to adjusted year-on-year growth rates of -12%, -11%, and -11% when calculated on a daily average basis [4] Capital Goods - The export growth rates for forklifts, machine tools, industrial sewing machines, and mining machinery in October are -13%, -4%, -10%, and 1% respectively, showing significant declines compared to September [5] - Cumulative growth rates from January to October 2025 for these categories are 0%, 13%, 13%, and 21%, with a decrease of 2-3 percentage points compared to the previous nine months [5] - The decline in export growth is also linked to high base effects and calendar effects, with adjusted daily average growth rates for October being -8%, 2%, -5%, and 6% [5]
【高端制造】同比高基数及日历效应拖累十月机械出口数据——机械行业海关总署出口月报(十七)(黄帅斌/庄晓波)
光大证券研究·2025-11-25 23:07