国海证券年度策略会来了!解码“2026年市场机会在哪”

Core Viewpoint - The financial industry is focusing on empowering regional high-quality development through integrated services in industry, technology, and finance [1] Group 1: Event Overview - Guohai Securities held its 2026 Capital Market Annual Conference in Nanning, marking the first time the annual strategy meeting was hosted at its headquarters, reflecting the company's commitment to local industry upgrades and new productivity cultivation [4][5] - The event attracted over 2,000 attendees, including more than 500 listed companies and over 60 experts from various fields, indicating strong interest and participation in the capital market [5] Group 2: Economic Outlook - Guohai Securities' Chief Economist Xia Lei emphasized that China's economic foundation is solid, with significant potential for long-term growth, supported by macro policy planning [8] - Consumption is identified as the main engine for economic growth, contributing 53.5% to GDP growth in the first three quarters of 2025, with a net export contribution of 29% [8] - The structure of export products has shifted from labor-intensive to high-value-added industries, with the share of electromechanical products in exports rising from 7.8% in 1980 to 60.7% by October 2025 [8] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The roundtable discussion highlighted that the stock market is expected to enter a phase driven by both valuation and performance in 2026, with a focus on emerging sectors such as AI, robotics, and innovative pharmaceuticals [10] - Guohai Securities' Chief Asset Allocation Officer noted that the A-share market remains in a long-term slow bull phase, with opportunities in the bond market due to a favorable domestic policy environment [10][11] - The fixed income chief projected that interest rates will remain low, with a stable bond market outlook, suggesting opportunities for segment trading in a fluctuating market [11]