雪球·2025-11-27 08:06Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current valuation of the Nasdaq 100 index, highlighting that while the rolling P/E ratio is not considered cheap, the forward P/E ratio indicates strong growth potential for its constituent stocks [2][4][13]. Group 1: Nasdaq 100 Valuation - The latest rolling P/E ratio for the Nasdaq 100 is 37.5, which is not considered very cheap [8]. - The forward P/E ratio for the Nasdaq 100 is 29.3, suggesting that the index is expected to enter a moderately low valuation in the coming year, with an estimated earnings growth rate of 28% [8][9]. - Major tech stocks within the index, such as Nvidia (44.3), Apple (36.3), and Microsoft (33.6), are noted to have high current P/E ratios, indicating they are not cheap [9]. Group 2: Growth Potential - Despite high current valuations, some major tech stocks have relatively low forward P/E ratios, such as Nvidia at 25.8 and Microsoft at 28.4, suggesting they may be undervalued compared to other high P/E stocks [10][11]. - Meta's forward P/E ratio is particularly low at 19.9, indicating a favorable investment opportunity [12]. Group 3: Caution on Domestic Nasdaq Assets - The article warns that domestic Nasdaq assets are currently experiencing a premium, suggesting investors should exercise caution [13].