这就是高市早苗的一场豪赌

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the complex and tense relationship between China and Japan, highlighting Japan's historical expansionist tendencies and current political maneuvers as a gamble to assert its independence from U.S. influence [1][2][10]. Group 1: Historical Context - Japan has a history of expansionism, including actions taken during the First Sino-Japanese War and World War II, driven by the belief that winning such gambles yields greater rewards than the risks involved [1]. - The Meiji Restoration allowed Japan to rapidly industrialize, partly funded by reparations from China after the First Sino-Japanese War, which facilitated further military and territorial expansion [1]. Group 2: Current Political Dynamics - Japan's current political stance, particularly under figures like Kishi Nobuo, reflects a desire to break free from U.S. military dependence, as Japan hosts numerous U.S. military bases [2][10]. - The article suggests that Japan is attempting to normalize military spending and capabilities, which could lead to a more assertive military posture in the region [9][10]. Group 3: Economic Competition - Japan's economic position has weakened relative to China, with significant losses in key industries such as electric vehicles and solar energy, where Japan was once a leader [16][19]. - The article notes that in 2021, no Japanese electric vehicle made it into the top 20 sales in China, highlighting the decline of Japanese automotive competitiveness [19]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The relationship between China and Japan is expected to remain tense, with no significant improvement in the short term, and a future characterized by "tense but controllable" dynamics [23][24]. - The article emphasizes that Japan's current political strategies are unlikely to succeed, given the disparity in national strength between China and Japan [25].