每日债市速递 | 万科债跌势加剧

Group 1: Open Market Operations - The central bank announced a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 356.4 billion yuan at a fixed rate of 1.40% on November 27, with a net injection of 56.4 billion yuan for the day after accounting for 300 billion yuan maturing [1]. Group 2: Liquidity Conditions - The central bank has shifted to net injection in the open market, ensuring ample liquidity in the interbank market, with overnight repo rates slightly declining to around 1.31% [3]. - The overnight pricing in the anonymous click (X-repo) system is at 1.28%, with supply close to 200 billion yuan [3]. - Non-bank institutions are borrowing overnight funds using credit bonds as collateral, with rates dropping below 1.4% [3]. - The latest overnight financing rate in the U.S. is reported at 4.01% [3]. Group 3: Interbank Certificates of Deposit - The latest transaction for one-year interbank certificates of deposit is at 1.65%, showing a slight increase from the previous day [6]. Group 4: Government Bonds and Futures - The main contracts for government bonds mostly declined, with the 30-year contract down 0.01%, the 10-year down 0.06%, and the 5-year down 0.01%, while the 2-year contract saw a slight increase of 0.01% [11]. Group 5: Economic Indicators - In October, profits of industrial enterprises above designated size fell by 5.5% year-on-year, while the total profit for January to October reached 59,502.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.9% [12]. - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) announced the allocation of 700 billion yuan and 800 billion yuan in special bonds for "hard investment" projects in the previous and current years, respectively [12]. - The NDRC is actively promoting the expansion of infrastructure REITs to include more sectors and asset types [13]. Group 6: Global Macro Developments - The Japanese government plans to issue more bonds to fund an economic stimulus package, with an additional budget of approximately 18.3 trillion yen (about 117 billion USD) funded by issuing 11.7 trillion yen in bonds [15]. - The Bank of Korea maintained its key interest rate at 2.5%, aligning with market expectations, and revised its GDP growth forecast for 2025 to 1.0% from 0.9% [15]. Group 7: Bond Market Events - Vanke bonds experienced significant declines, with "21 Vanke 02" dropping over 57% and other bonds falling by more than 40% [17]. - Shanghai Pudong Development Bank plans to hold a meeting on December 10 to discuss the extension of "22 Vanke MTN004" [17]. - Tianfeng Securities intends to issue up to 9.6 billion USD in offshore bonds to ensure the normal repayment of existing debts [17]. Group 8: Non-Standard Asset Risks - Recent disclosures indicate multiple non-standard asset defaults related to trust plans, highlighting ongoing risks in the market [18].