美股IPO·2025-11-29 11:00Core Insights - The article highlights a significant shift in the enterprise AI market in China, moving from independent model developers to large-scale cloud providers, with Alibaba Cloud being recognized as the "best AI enabler" in China by Morgan Stanley [1][3][7]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The Chinese enterprise AI market is undergoing a structural change from "model experimentation" to "cloud-based implementation," positioning Alibaba as a potential major winner in this transition [3][4]. - A recent survey indicates that 47% of CIOs prefer large-scale cloud providers for deploying generative AI, a 10 percentage point increase from the first half of 2025, while interest in independent AI model developers has decreased by 7 percentage points to 40% [4][5]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The interest in Alibaba's Qwen model is rapidly increasing, with its intention rate rising from 18% to 30%, while interest in DeepSeek has dropped by 20 percentage points to 45% [9]. - Morgan Stanley predicts that within three years, Alibaba's Qwen could capture a market share of 37%, surpassing DeepSeek (28%), Huawei (13%), and ByteDance (12%) [9]. Group 3: Financial Projections - Alibaba Cloud currently holds a 35.8% market share in the Chinese AI cloud market, exceeding the combined share of its second to fourth competitors [11]. - Morgan Stanley forecasts that Alibaba Cloud's revenue growth will accelerate to over 35% in the second half of the 2026 fiscal year and further increase to 40% in the 2027 fiscal year [14]. - Despite planning a capital expenditure of 380 billion RMB over three years, the demand for computing power is growing exponentially, suggesting that this investment may not be sufficient to meet current needs [14].