业界大佬:全球铜都在流向美国,这是铜多头“一次大好机会”
美股IPO·2025-11-30 22:44

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that the influx of copper supply into the U.S. market due to tariff expectations is creating a "must rise" market structure for copper prices, presenting a significant opportunity for copper bulls, while Asian buyers may be forced to accept high premiums to secure supply [1][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The influx of metals into the U.S. market is leading to a risk of further depletion of copper inventories in other regions globally [3]. - The current market structure is characterized by tight supply and rising prices, which is expected to result in higher premiums for Asian buyers [3][5]. - The U.S. is now the largest consumer of copper globally, with significant premiums observed in New York futures prices compared to London benchmarks [5][6]. Group 2: Price Trends and Predictions - The U.S. copper imports are projected to increase significantly in the coming months, with expectations of reaching record levels similar to those seen in Q2 2025 [4]. - The article notes that the current market dynamics, despite existing surpluses, are leading to price increases, indicating a unique situation in the copper market [4]. - There is a potential scenario where U.S. copper prices could rise to $12,000 or $15,000, which would create a supply shortage in China as buyers return from the Spring Festival [7]. Group 3: Premiums and Competition - Traders are currently pushing up premiums for deliverable copper, with some attempting to purchase Chilean copper at premiums exceeding $500 over LME prices [7]. - Codelco, the largest copper producer, has recently set benchmark premiums above $300 per ton for its customers in Korea and China, shocking Asian buyers [7]. - The article suggests that while Chinese buyers are hesitant about high prices now, they are likely to accept them in the near future as supply tightens [7].