净亏损160亿！美团的护城河，被淘宝闪购“挖穿”

Core Viewpoint - Meituan's Q3 2025 earnings report shows a revenue of 95.5 billion RMB, a 2% year-on-year increase, but below Bloomberg's expected 4% growth. The adjusted net loss was 16.01 billion RMB, exceeding the expected 13.8 billion RMB loss [3][4]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Meituan's revenue was 95,488 million RMB, with a gross loss of 19,759 million RMB, representing a 20.7% loss margin. The adjusted EBITDA was -14,841 million RMB, also reflecting a significant loss [4][9]. - The adjusted net profit in the same quarter last year was 12.8 billion RMB, indicating a nearly 30 billion RMB impact on net profit year-on-year [4][5]. Cost and Investment Analysis - The increase in sales costs and marketing expenses in Q3 2025 amounted to over 29.8 billion RMB, which corresponds closely to the 30 billion RMB decrease in profit, indicating heavy investment in the "takeaway war" to maintain market share [5][14]. - Meituan's core local business revenue decreased by 2.8% to 67.4 billion RMB, with a significant operating loss of 141 million RMB, resulting in a 20.9% loss margin [9][10]. Market Share and Competition - Meituan's market share in the takeaway segment has dropped from over 75% at the beginning of the year to approximately 50% as of November, according to estimates from JPMorgan [5][15]. - The competition has intensified, with Alibaba's market share rising to 42%, while Meituan's share is projected to decline further in the coming years [15][19]. Management's Outlook - CEO Wang Xing expressed optimism about the long-term value creation despite the current losses, stating that the price war in the takeaway sector is unsustainable. However, he acknowledged that losses would continue into Q4 [6][19]. - Meituan plans to invest an additional 2.8 billion RMB to support merchants and enhance service quality, while avoiding participation in price wars [18][19]. Industry Trends - The competition in the takeaway and instant retail markets is expected to persist, with analysts predicting that the market structure may not revert to a scenario where Meituan dominates alone [19][20]. - The industry is transitioning from capital-driven growth to efficiency and innovation-driven models, indicating a shift in competitive dynamics [19].