全球市场波动,我们该如何应对?|第418期精品课程
银行螺丝钉·2025-12-01 13:59

Group 1 - Recent fluctuations in stocks, bonds, and gold have been observed, indicating a liquidity crisis that is relatively rare when all asset classes decline simultaneously [4][7][18] - The liquidity crisis is primarily driven by uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, particularly the potential for a rate cut in December [8][9][14] - The U.S. national debt has reached $38.33 trillion, with interest payments projected to exceed $870 billion in 2024, raising concerns about the dollar's stability and the high yield on 10-year Treasury bonds [11][12] Group 2 - The uncertainty regarding the timing of future rate cuts may lead to prolonged periods of market volatility, with potential intervals of several months between cuts [13][14] - Historically, liquidity crises occur every 3-5 years, with notable instances during the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and significant rate hikes by the Federal Reserve [17][21] - During periods of liquidity tightness, investors tend to sell long-term risk assets, leading to increased correlation among different asset classes [18][22] Group 3 - To navigate the current market volatility, investors should assess their holdings for undervalued assets and ensure that the underlying companies are still profitable [24][25] - Short-term fluctuations may present opportunities to invest in undervalued assets, as seen during previous market downturns [27][29] - Suitable investment options currently include undervalued index funds, actively managed portfolios, and fixed-income plus products that incorporate a small amount of equities [30][32]