中国资产已重回全球投资者布局的舞台中心！大摩邢自强最新发声：2026年的政策基调大概率还是渐进、温和的

Group 1 - The core significance of the "9·24" policy shift is to restore confidence in the capital market and among entrepreneurs [2][13] - The past decade's perception of "dollar assets being the only star" is gradually being demystified [2][23] - The policy tone for 2026 is likely to remain gradual and moderate, with fiscal policy expected to exert slightly more force than in 2025, but not significantly [2][30] Group 2 - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes technological innovation, which is expected to highlight new productive forces amid economic challenges, although these cannot fully offset the impacts of traditional economic adjustments [2][5][35] - The key to breaking deflation lies in stabilizing the real estate market, which is crucial for economic recovery in 2026 and 2027 [2][36][45] - Hong Kong's experience shows that when mortgage rates are lowered to levels close to rental yields, the real estate market stabilizes [2][50] Group 3 - The changes in policy, enterprises, and capital have led to a new atmosphere in China's capital market over the past year and a half [3][10] - The resilience of many enterprises amid challenges has been bolstered by positive developments in sectors like AI, smart vehicles, and biopharmaceuticals [2][18][19] - There has been a significant shift in capital dynamics, with domestic investors becoming more active and moving towards diversified equity assets [2][26][27] Group 4 - The "14th Five-Year Plan" aims to balance development and security, with a focus on enhancing consumer spending and social security systems [2][54][58] - The plan proposes two core paths for promoting consumption: building a unified national market and increasing fiscal investment in social welfare [2][55][58] - The reform of the social security system is crucial for boosting consumer confidence and spending, with a target to increase the proportion of consumption in GDP from around 40% to 45% by 2030 [2][63][64] Group 5 - The gradual implementation of the "14th Five-Year Plan" is expected to lead to a deeper consensus and understanding by 2027, ultimately breaking the deflationary cycle [2][65][66] - The focus on technological self-reliance and innovation is seen as a key driver for attracting global investors back to the Chinese market [2][66]