虚势迎新 | 谈股论金

Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing a "virtual strength welcoming new" phenomenon, where the performance of major indices is misleading due to the influence of a few key stocks, particularly "Ning Wang" (CATL) and "Han Wang" (Cambricon) [4][7]. Market Performance - The three major A-share indices showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.06% at 3875.79 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.40% at 13006.72 points, and the ChiNext Index up 1.01% at 3067.48 points [3]. - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 15.49 trillion, a decrease of 121 billion from the previous day [3]. Index Discrepancies - The degree of index distortion has reached an extreme level, with significant performance differences among indices. The Sci-Tech 50 Index rose approximately 1.53%, while the ChiNext Index also saw around a 1% increase [4]. - The notable performance of key stocks, particularly Cambricon and CATL, has had a decisive impact on the indices, with both stocks rising nearly 2% [4]. Overall Market Sentiment - Despite the gains of a few key stocks, the majority of individual stocks performed poorly, with over 4,000 stocks declining during the day and only about 1,400 stocks rising [5]. - The market sentiment was somewhat uplifted by the securities sector, which saw a rally, although the overall number of stocks hitting their daily limit down was concerning, with 26 stocks reaching the limit down compared to only 40 stocks hitting the limit up [6]. Future Outlook - The upcoming listing of new stocks, particularly Moer Thread and Muxi Co., is expected to attract active capital, potentially leading to a "blood-sucking effect" on other stocks and suppressing overall market performance [6]. - The market is likely to continue facing adjustment pressures, as the indices are being "hijacked" by a few key stocks, making it difficult to reflect the true overall market condition [6][7].