CSSC Holdings(SH:600150) 第一财经·2025-12-05 08:10Core Viewpoint - The global new shipbuilding market is expected to see a significant decline in transaction volume this year, although new ship prices will remain relatively high historically [3]. Group 1: Market Trends - Since 2021, the global new shipbuilding market has experienced five years of continuous growth, leading to a tight shipbuilding capacity situation. Clarkson's statistics indicate that global new ship orders are expected to reach around 120 million deadweight tons, which is still at a historically good level [3]. - The anticipated decline in new ship transaction volume is attributed to idle shipbuilding capacity and global economic uncertainties. However, factors such as the dismantling of old ships, the release of demand for green ship updates, and the short-term inability to significantly expand quality shipbuilding capacity will continue to support new ship prices at relatively high historical levels [3]. Group 2: Green Transition - During the maritime exhibition, several shipbuilding companies showcased their main ship types, including the release of eight self-developed ship types by Guangzhou Shipyard International and the display of a model of a nuclear-powered container ship by Jiangnan Shipyard [5]. - The global cruise market currently holds 72 cruise ship orders, with mainstream shipbuilding companies securing large orders for cruise ships this year. Additionally, alternative fuel vessels are increasingly occupying a larger share of new ship orders, with new orders for alternative fuel vessels expected to grow by 78% in the first half of 2025 compared to the entire year of 2024 [5]. - The shipping industry is in the early stages of a significant transition towards net-zero emissions, with many shipping companies exploring various alternative fuel ship types, such as LNG and methanol-powered vessels, which are rapidly increasing in order volume [5]. Group 3: Digital Empowerment - The trend of digital empowerment in the shipping industry is becoming prominent, with global shipping giants actively promoting the development of digital technologies. For instance, Maersk is exploring autonomous driving technology and improvements in shipping supply chain efficiency [8]. - In China, since the 13th Five-Year Plan, the government has placed significant emphasis on the development of smart shipping, implementing a series of supportive policies. Companies like COSCO Shipping Group and China Merchants Group are actively practicing in the vertical modeling of shipping [8]. - During the maritime exhibition, COSCO Shipping (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd. launched an intelligent management solution for the entire lifecycle of ship services, significantly reducing inventory check times from one month to two hours [8]. Group 4: Challenges in Digitalization - Industry insiders have pointed out that the industrialization of new digital technologies in the shipping industry faces several challenges, including the need for a stronger digital technology standard system and a lack of data sharing and governance mechanisms [9]. - There are suggestions to accelerate the revision of digitalization-related standards in shipping and to establish unified data and standard specifications to promote data interconnectivity among port enterprises, shipping companies, and trade enterprises [9].