突然闪崩暴跌!刚刚,做空了!

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant decline in Pop Mart's stock price, which dropped nearly 10% on December 8, marking a 40% decrease from its peak, primarily due to concerns over slowing sales growth in the U.S. market [3][6] - Market analysts express worries that Pop Mart's sales performance during the "Black Friday" promotional period may not meet expectations, impacting investor confidence in the company's growth prospects [6][7] - Following a reported over 1200% year-on-year sales surge in the U.S. for Q3, the sustainability of overseas sales has become a critical focus for investors, with short-selling positions rising to 6.3% of the company's float, the highest level since August 2023 [6][7] Group 2 - Bernstein's analyst estimates that Pop Mart's U.S. sales growth has slowed to below 500% for the current quarter, reflecting a broader trend of weakening offline sales in North America during November [7] - The analysis from Xinda Securities indicates that sales data during the Thanksgiving week showed no significant month-on-month growth, suggesting a "lackluster peak season," while supply chain issues have eased without significantly boosting demand [7][8] - Concerns have been raised regarding the accuracy of high-frequency sales data, which is based on credit and debit card sampling and may not fully represent actual sales performance [8] Group 3 - The article notes that only 3% of Pop Mart's consumers are "scalpers," and the company's supply strategy is focused on ensuring genuine consumers can access products rather than relying on marketing hype [8] - Excluding the U.S. market, regions such as Europe, China, and Southeast Asia continue to show positive growth trends, indicating a balanced global development for Pop Mart [8] - Despite current performance controversies, analysts suggest that mid-term investment decisions should focus on the company's underlying capabilities and business model, as the accumulation of IP potential requires time [8]