【电新环保】持续看好氢氨醇、储能产业链投资机会——电新环保行业周报20251207（殷中枢/郝骞/陈无忌/和霖/邓怡亮）

Group 1: Energy Storage - In November, domestic energy storage completed a total of 10GW/29.7GWh in bidding, with independent storage projects accounting for 90% of the total. The average bid price for 2/4h systems was 0.594/0.494 CNY/Wh, showing a slight decrease compared to October. It is expected that independent storage bidding will maintain a good level in 2026, supported by the development of the industry and a complete revenue model through energy, capacity, and ancillary service markets [4] - The logic for overseas energy storage continues to evolve, with the overall electricity shortage in the U.S. remaining unchanged. Future technological advancements are expected to be a key focus, with attention on overseas storage and SST opportunities. Demand for energy storage in non-U.S. countries is also anticipated to rise, such as in Middle Eastern data centers and Ukraine's reconstruction efforts [4] Group 2: Hydrogen and Ammonia - The Jilin Provincial Ecological Environment Department has accepted the environmental impact report for a project by Liao Yuan Tian Yi Hydrogen Energy Technology Co., Ltd., which aims to produce 180,000 tons of green methane annually. This project is part of the "wind-solar-storage-hydrogen-ammonia integration" series under a government framework agreement. The hydrogen and ammonia sector is expected to gain more investment due to dual benefits from China's future industries and the EU's carbon tariff in 2026 [5] Group 3: Lithium Battery - Production in December is expected to remain stable, with demand anticipated to improve in January. The market is currently negotiating on the demand side regarding domestic energy storage bidding expectations for 2026, while also monitoring the sales of new energy vehicles. On the supply side, the lithium battery industry is experiencing a "reverse involution" logic, establishing a trend of supply-demand improvement. Short-term expectations for lithium hexafluorophosphate are already high, and various segments are gradually entering long-term contract signing phases. Mid-term investment opportunities should focus on lithium mines with significant supply variability and membrane segments where profitability does not support expansion [6]