摩根士丹利两年多来首次下调特斯拉评级

Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock experienced a significant decline of 3.39% on December 8, closing at $439.58, marking its largest single-day drop in a week, influenced by Morgan Stanley's downgrade from "Overweight" to "Neutral" [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Tesla's projected P/E ratio for the next 12 months is approximately 210, ranking second among S&P 500 constituents, significantly higher than Palantir Technologies at 186 and lower only than Warner Bros. Discovery at 220 [3]. - For Q3 2025, Tesla reported revenue of $28.1 billion, a year-over-year increase of 12%, achieving a historical high for the period. However, net profit fell to $1.373 billion, a 37% decline, with an operating margin of only 5.8%, the lowest in nearly five years [3]. - Adjusted net profit was reported at $1.77 billion, down 29% year-over-year, attributed to increased operational costs driven by sales, general administrative expenses, R&D for AI, and a decrease in one-time Full Self-Driving (FSD) revenue recognition [3]. Group 2: Strategic Developments - Tesla is preparing to expand its Texas Gigafactory, planning to build a dedicated facility for mass production of its humanoid robot, Optimus, aiming for an annual production capacity of 10 million units [4]. - CEO Elon Musk indicated that the company's Robotaxi fleet is expected to double in size next month, although no specific timeline for commercialization has been provided for these initiatives [4]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Analyst Ratings - Notable short-seller Michael Burry criticized Tesla's valuation as "absurdly high," suggesting that this situation has persisted for a considerable time [5]. - Tesla's stock has seen a cumulative increase of about 10% this year, underperforming the S&P 500's 16% gain, ending a two-year trend of doubling or high growth [5]. - Morgan Stanley raised Tesla's target price from $410 to $425 based on expectations for its automotive, robotaxi, network services, and humanoid robot businesses, with the Optimus project potentially valued at $60 per share [5]. - Currently, Wall Street analysts have assigned Tesla 28 "Buy," 19 "Hold," and 16 "Sell" ratings, indicating a potential reevaluation of the company's valuation logic amid increasing industry competition and profit pressures [5].