第一个20万亿大省，呼之欲出

Core Viewpoint - Guangdong Province aims to achieve a GDP of over 25 trillion yuan by 2035, effectively doubling its current economic output and reaching the level of a moderately developed country in terms of per capita GDP [6][9][11]. Group 1: Economic Growth Targets - The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests that Guangdong's GDP should reach approximately 25 trillion yuan by 2035, with a nominal annual growth rate of over 5% [6][11]. - As of 2022, Guangdong's GDP was around 13 trillion yuan, and it surpassed 14 trillion yuan in the previous year, maintaining its position as the top province in China for 36 consecutive years [8][11]. - The target of 22 trillion yuan by 2035 would require a lower annual growth rate of about 3.5% [11]. Group 2: Economic Structure and Key Cities - The economic structure of Guangdong is heavily concentrated in the Pearl River Delta, with nine cities contributing over 80% of the province's GDP [19]. - Major cities like Guangzhou, Shenzhen, and the newly recognized Huizhou are expected to play pivotal roles in driving economic growth, with Huizhou's GDP already exceeding 600 billion yuan [20]. - The province plans to enhance the roles of secondary cities and urban clusters, including Zhuhai, Shantou, and Zhanjiang, to support overall economic development [22]. Group 3: Regional Development Disparities - The economic disparity between the Pearl River Delta and the less developed regions of East and West Guangdong is significant, with the latter contributing only about 20% of the province's GDP despite covering over 70% of its area [28][29]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the need for coordinated development across the province, promoting industrial transfer and support for underdeveloped areas [30][31]. Group 4: High-Tech Industry Development - Guangdong aims to leverage national strategies to develop high-tech industries, focusing on sectors like new energy, aerospace, and advanced manufacturing [43][46]. - The province is home to nine trillion-yuan industrial clusters and has been recognized as the leading province in technological innovation for nine consecutive years [46][48]. - Guangdong's R&D expenditure is projected to reach approximately 509.96 billion yuan in 2024, with over 90% coming from enterprises, surpassing the total of 12 western provinces [48].