老乡哪里走?——A股一周走势研判及事件提醒
Datayes·2025-12-14 15:10

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing fluctuations influenced by significant macroeconomic events, including inflation and foreign trade data releases, as well as the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance on interest rates. The Shanghai Composite Index has fallen below 3900 points this week [1]. Semiconductor Industry - Intel is testing chip manufacturing tools from a well-connected equipment manufacturer, which may be used for its advanced chip manufacturing process expected to begin production in 2027 [1]. - The semiconductor sector saw a sudden rise on Friday, although the reasons for this increase remain unclear [1]. Financial Data - In November, China's social financing increased by 24,885 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1,597 billion yuan, marking a return to positive growth after three months of decline [6]. - New RMB loans amounted to 3,900 billion yuan in November, a year-on-year decrease of 1,900 billion yuan, with a notable drop in household loans [7]. Market Trends - The technology sector is expected to see a rebound as geopolitical risks ease and policy expectations improve, with a focus on AI and semiconductor industries [6]. - The stock market is currently in a cautious phase, with significant net selling observed in sectors such as computing, pharmaceuticals, and basic chemicals [32]. Investment Opportunities - The upcoming economic policies and data releases are anticipated to create investment opportunities, particularly in technology and cyclical sectors [6]. - The semiconductor and AI sectors are highlighted as areas of potential growth, with specific attention to the TPU industry chain and related technologies [6]. Industry Insights - The photovoltaic equipment sector is expected to see advancements with the emergence of new technologies, such as silicon-based and perovskite solar cells [11]. - The commercial aerospace sector is preparing for significant IPOs, with SpaceX planning to raise over $30 billion [12]. Consumer Sector - The Chinese government is implementing measures to boost consumer spending, including adjustments to personal consumption loan policies [16]. - Guizhou Moutai is expected to introduce a volume control policy, impacting the production and pricing of its products [16].