【策略】新一轮政策部署护航，A股跨年行情可期——策略周专题（2025年12月第2期）（张宇生/郭磊）

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to experience a favorable cross-year trend supported by new policy deployments, with a focus on TMT and advanced manufacturing sectors, while defensive and consumer sectors may be considered if external factors lead to short-term market fluctuations [6][7]. Market Performance - Most major A-share indices saw gains this week, with the ChiNext Index, Sci-Tech 50, and CSI 500 leading in growth, while the Shanghai Composite, SSE 50, and CSI 300 experienced declines [4]. - The mid-cap growth style outperformed, with significant sector performance variation; telecommunications and defense industries showed strong gains, while coal and oil sectors faced declines [4]. Important Events Review - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized a "steady progress and quality improvement" approach, continuing with a "more proactive fiscal policy" and "moderately loose monetary policy" [5]. - Economic data showed a year-on-year growth of 8.5% in social financing stock by the end of November, with the CPI rising by 0.7% [5]. - Internationally, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points and initiated a short-term Treasury purchase program, while Japan's GDP contracted by 2.3% year-on-year in Q3 [5][7]. Policy Outlook - The new policy measures are expected to bolster market confidence and attract various types of capital inflows, with historical trends indicating strong A-share performance during the initial years of the 13th and 14th Five-Year Plans [7].