汽车商业评论·2025-12-14 23:06Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing debate in Europe regarding the potential withdrawal of the EU's ambitious green agenda, particularly the ban on the sale of new internal combustion engine vehicles starting in 2035, which has implications for both traditional and electric vehicle manufacturers [4][5][6]. Group 1: Industry Challenges and Opportunities - European automakers are struggling to transition to zero-emission driving but may receive a reprieve from stringent regulations, which could impact the future direction of the transportation sector [5][6]. - The proposed delay in the ban is a result of lobbying from major companies like Stellantis and Mercedes-Benz, aiming to avoid potential fines exceeding €1 billion (approximately $1.2 billion) in the coming years [5][11]. - The automotive industry, contributing about €1 trillion (approximately $1.2 trillion) to the economy, may welcome this flexibility, but it risks slowing technological advancement and widening the gap with competitors like Tesla and Chinese manufacturers [5][6]. Group 2: Political and Regulatory Dynamics - Six EU leaders, including Italy's Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, have called for a relaxation of vehicle emission rules to prevent the effective ban on internal combustion engines in the mid-2030s [8][10]. - The letter to the EU Commission emphasizes the need for a balanced approach to climate goals without compromising competitiveness, highlighting the importance of technological neutrality [10][11]. - The review of current regulations has been expedited due to slower-than-expected electric vehicle adoption, with an announcement expected soon [10][11]. Group 3: Market Trends and Consumer Preferences - Data from the European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA) indicates that from January to October 2025, electric vehicles accounted for 16.4% of the EU market, up from 13.2% in the same period of 2024 [18]. - Hybrid vehicles remain the preferred choice for EU consumers, with a registration share of 34.6%, while plug-in hybrids accounted for 9.1%, an increase from 7% year-on-year [18]. - The combined market share of gasoline and diesel vehicles has decreased to 36.6%, down from 46.3% in 2024, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [18]. Group 4: Industry Perspectives on Policy Changes - Executives from companies like Volvo and Lucid Motors express concerns that delaying the transition to electric vehicles could undermine industry confidence and increase costs in achieving climate goals [12][19]. - The commitment to the 2035 target is seen as crucial for maintaining investor confidence and ensuring that substantial investments in infrastructure and technology are not jeopardized [18][19]. - The debate over extending the lifespan of fossil fuel-based vehicles is viewed as detrimental to long-term industry efficiency and innovation [19].