半导体行业观察·2025-12-15 01:33Group 1 - The DRAM supply shortage is expected to persist until 2028, with limited growth in commodity DRAM due to a shift in focus by major manufacturers towards AI server demands [2][6] - Existing suppliers' inventories have reached historical lows, exacerbating allocation pressures, and manufacturers are adopting conservative capacity expansion strategies [6] - The demand for server DRAM is projected to grow exponentially, with server share expected to rise from 38% in 2025 to 53% by 2030, driven by AI developments [6] Group 2 - Apple is facing significant cost increases for DRAM chips as its long-term agreement with Korean manufacturers is set to expire, potentially leading to higher product prices [8][9] - Dell has announced substantial price increases for various products due to the DRAM shortage, with expected hikes of hundreds of dollars for laptops and PCs [11][12] - The semiconductor market is entering a super cycle, with unprecedented supply shortages anticipated, particularly for server memory and high-bandwidth memory (HBM) [14][15]