Overall Viewpoint - The central economic work conference emphasizes the need to adhere to "dual carbon" goals by 2026, promoting a comprehensive green transition and advancing energy-saving and carbon-reduction transformations in key industries [4] - The conference also highlights the importance of developing a national carbon emissions trading market and fostering new growth points such as hydrogen energy and green fuels, along with the establishment of zero-carbon parks and factories [4] - The investment opportunities in the green energy sector, including hydrogen, ammonia, methanol, green electricity, and energy storage, are expected to remain strong in 2026 [4] Group 1: Domestic Energy Storage - In November, domestic energy storage installations saw significant growth, with a total new installed capacity of 4.51 GW/13.03 GWh, representing a month-on-month increase of 57.14% (power) and 74.66% (capacity), and a year-on-year increase of 45.95% (power) and 49.6% (capacity) [5] - The independent energy storage bidding in 2026 is anticipated to maintain a favorable level, supported by the development of the industry and the establishment of a complete revenue model through energy markets [5] - The rapid increase in compressed air energy storage is noted in the recent bidding results [5] Group 2: Hydrogen, Ammonia, and Wind Power - The central economic meeting indicates a focus on cultivating hydrogen energy and green fuels as new growth points, with plans to build zero-carbon parks and factories [6] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period is expected to benefit from both China's future industries and the EU carbon tariff, making hydrogen and ammonia promising directions for investment [6] Group 3: Lithium Batteries - The retail sales of new energy vehicles in the first week of December reached 185,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 17% and a month-on-month decrease of 10%, indicating high policy sensitivity among consumers [7] - The central economic work conference's deployment to optimize "two new" policy implementations suggests the continuation of national subsidy policies to stimulate automotive consumption [7] - The lithium battery supply chain is expected to see a trend of improvement, with companies launching large capacity storage battery solutions aimed at cost reduction [7]
【电新环保】中央经济工作会议强调绿电应用,持续推荐氢氨醇、储能——行业周报20251214(殷中枢/郝骞/陈无忌/和霖/邓怡亮)
光大证券研究·2025-12-15 23:07